Week 12 – Big Decisions

The joys of deciding on transfers each week takes some time. The decision this week is do I sell one of the big players to free up funds or stick with them. Not sure. Lets look at an option.

Sell Salah and Aguero and buy someone else, but whom. Both these players have home fixtures, Liverpool against Fulham and City against United.  The stats are also showing both players in the upturn so it may be best to wait another week, especially as international week is coming up.

I need to look at the data in more depth, I will update the blog tonight with more info and also my real options on whom I’m going for.

 

 

 

Post Week 10 analysis

Week 10 is over and the stats are coming in thick and fast. The new Power BI charts are hopefully going to give me some useful insights. As always I’m still going through the data so any inaccuracies are based on not fully tested data sets 🙂

This chart shows points by all positions by game weeks. Obviously with Power BI I can click the options to see different things.

This chart is showing overall points by teams. Some interesting things have come to light. Man United’s defence has come out as one of the worse performing defences in terms of points but their midfield is one of the best.

In this chart we can see the players, its quite busy mind you. Need some filters.

still some work to do but it is showing some good things.

I have also done some form guides based on the previous 4 games. If we look at defenders Doherty is still No 1 but that’s because of the two weeks he got 12 & 15.  Some work to do on this chart I believe.

If we look at Midfielders it looks a bit more accurate.  Some possible candidates for transfers here.  Hazard is still in 5th place even though he didn’t play this week.

I will take a look at the stats a little more before I actually make my decision on the transfers.

Lets look at two possible transfers. Is it worth a risk, possibly, but I will wait.

back to the stats.

 

 

 

 

 

Week 9 – Mo Salah or No Salah

Week 9 is almost here, that seemed like a long international break but it gave me some time to look at what I’m doing with my team. The main question appears to be around Salah, keep or transfer. Looking at the stats it was an easy question for me to answer, considering he is close to where he was this time last season. So I have decided to keep him and considering Liverpool’s next two Premiership fixtures are Away to Huddersfield and home to Cardiff I’m going to make him captain.

Mo’s stats look like this’

I do need him to start scoring soon though if the gap between this season and last gets to big I will need to sell and re-invest.

But who would I re-invest in? KDB springs to mind 🙂

Watch this space

One other thing to bear in mind is that for the period game weeks 5 to 8 Salah is currently 25th position for Midfielders, Hazard is number 1.

By 7pm tonight I will know if my Salah as Captain pays off or not 🙂

 

 

Looking forward to Game week 2

Well, I made my transfer and I went for a defender change. I almost held on for 2 transfers next week but I decided to go for it. I normally look forward a couple of weeks to look at the fixtures, but considering we are in the first few games I went for gut instinct, lets see how that works our 🙂

 

Looking at the stats and the news the vast movement appears to be based on Midfield and the change in ownership for KDB, he has dropped 9% since news broke about his injury and how long he could be out for. I compared him to three other midfielders and as you can see they went up by 2% in the same time.

Just a quick post as I’m still looking at the stats and working out which ones I want to show.

 

GW1 is over

After an interesting game week I thought I would highlight 4 players who did well.

  • Wan Bissaka -Crystal Palace, 12 points 90 minutes played.
  • Richarlison – Everton, 14 points 85 minutes played.
  • Neves – Wolves, 12 points 90 minutes played.
  • Mane – Liverpool, 16 points 81 minutes played

Unfortunately I had none of these players in my team, and I was only talking about Richarlison on Friday and saying what a good buy he is for Everton. Going into game week 2 I wont do my normal thing and look at using the wildcard. After the first week I have ended up with 55 points, 2 points above the average, need to do better.

As we can see after their performances their ownership went up, by quite a lot. What’s interesting is each percentage point equate to almost 50,000 Fantasy League players.

 

If we look at Richarlison and Mane and the first 6 games of last season we can see that

  • Richarlison scored 30 pts, scored 2 goals and 1 assist
  • Mane scored 20 points, scored 3 goals

So both look set to get a better score after 6 games.

There are quite a few players that appear to be doing better so I need to spend some time on the stats and work out my subs.

So here is to happy stats crunching.

Almost there, we are days away

The last few days of tinkering before the start of the fantasy league normally means a frantic decision making process where the teams change numerous times. I even tried to get Kane, Salah & De Bruyne in the same team, but then the other players I had to compromise too much.

Looking at the stats for ownership it seems Sergio Agüero is the one most people are opting for. Since the Community Shield his ownership has more than doubled, whilst the others like Firmino are losing ownership.

I will spend the next few days analysing the data and fixtures before I finally lock in my selection for the first game.

Back to the stats and hopefully a clear definition of who I need will jump out at me.

 

 

Almost here

Small posts as we enter the final week before the start of the fantasy league.

We are into the final few days before the season kicks off and I’m still tinkering. I’m trying to find that jewel that no one else has found. Currently the bargains are to be found with the teams that have been promoted. Two of the teams have invested heavily and the selections are swaying towards those teams.

 

The top three selected players from the promoted teams are:

  1. da Silva Neves-Rúben Diogo 14.40% Ownership
  2. Sessegnon-Ryan 11.30% Ownership
  3. Kamara-Aboubakar 10.90% Ownership

The top selected player from Cardiff is Connolly-Matthew and he has been selected by 1.8%

I think Fulham and Wolves can be top 10 contenders where Cardiff will struggle.

Away from the promoted team the player with the most movement this week is Sergio Agüero he has increased by 4.9% Ownership, its amazing what a couple of goals can do.

Currently the top 5 selected players are:

  1. Salah 52%
  2. Firmino 35.20%
  3. Kane 32.8%%
  4. Zaha 31.30%
  5. De Gea 29.40%

Interestingly Courtois has 5.90% Ownership and he is not training with Chelsea at the moment, I think he may be leaving.

 

More stats will be coming out and expect more dashboards.

 

 

 

 

 

Less than 2 weeks to go

The planning stage is almost over, the games are just around the corner the fun is about to begin. Over the coming weeks the new dashboards will be done and hopefully this season they will be bigger and better then ever. I’ve been working on some new stats to see if I can pick a better team to start with. The last few seasons I have used my wildcard in the first few weeks, mind you I won a few mini leagues last season so it wasn’t all bad.

My Captains pick was the thing that was good last season, and this was one of the reasons I did win some of the mini leagues I entered.

So.…..What are  my tactics for this season?

  1. Pick a spine for my team made up of players that finished in the top 4 last season. This means expensive picks.
  2. Look at players who play in a different position to what they are shown in the fantasy league, so a defender that plays more forward.
  3. look at the new signings. Salah was fantastic last season 🙂
  4. Pick players for the bench that actually play.
  5. Look at the first six fixtures for the promoted teams to see if I can pick a bargain.

If we look at the promoted teams and who they are playing, my predictions are in brackets

Cardiff have:

  • Away Bournemouth (D)
  • Home Newcastle (W)
  • Away Huddersfield (D)
  • Home Arsenal (L)
  • Away Chelsea (L)
  • Home Man City (L)

Fulham have:

  • Home Crystal Palace (D)
  • Away Spurs  (D)
  • Home Burnley (W)
  • Away Brighton (W)
  • Away Man city (L)
  • Home Watford (W)

Wolves have:

  • Home Everton (W)
  • Away Leicester (D)
  • Home Man City (L)
  • Away West Ham (D)
  • Home Burnley (W)
  • Away Man United (D)

Based on this I believe there could be bargains to have, but this is not guaranteed. In my initial 15 man squad I have 1 player from each promoted team.

Looking at all the teams I have a few selection headaches. Hopefully my Dashboards will help 🙂 Here are some of my headaches.

  • De Bruyne or Sane or Sterling or Mahrez?
  • Pickford or not for the main goalkeeper?
  • Kane or salah as my big name signing? maybe both but this would mean almost a quarter of the budget on 2 players.
  • Is it worth going for Arsenal players in the post Wenger era.

Its going to be a tense few weeks leading up to the kick off, but it will be fun.