Well, my 4 point hit in Game week 13 didn’t work out. Mind you there were quite a few players that let me down, so its onwards and upwards to GW14. I have modified the data model for the football data again and created some new dashboards. The mods were adding more data and fixing a few bugs so I’m hoping it gives me some form of advantage.
The new dashboards look like this.
This gives me a summary of goals, assists, overall minutes played etc.
I can also split by position.
There are some additional pieces of data I want to add to the charts like Total points to assist me in selecting my next transfers.
anyway, its back to the stats and working on the next dashboards 🙂
Week 13 is almost upon us and I have made some changes to the data model. The table below shows the top players overall based on the previous four weeks, but now it includes the probable result of the next game.
If we look at a player we can now see their opponent and the percentage of a probable home, away or draw result. Everton are showing as a 55% chance of a home win. Lets look at the actual stats.
- Everton P6, W4, D1, L1, Scored 12, Conceded 6
- Cardiff P5, W0, D1, L4, Scored 2, conceded 11
All of a sudden the 55% is looking good. This influenced my transfer this week. I had already done my free transfer but when I saw B.Silva was not playing I decided to go for Richarlison and take a four point hit, but I’m expecting a goal fest at Goodison park :).
I have done lots of work on the data model so expect some good charts over the coming weeks as now I can concentrate on the visuals.
Anyway its back to the data.
In an earlier post I mentioned selling Salah and Aguero to free up funds, well, after some playing with stats I have predicted the season ending scores for the various positions. Currently this is in beta so subject to change. Here are my findings.
My current goalies will end up as 4th and 10th, so I can leave them for now.
I have three of the top six defenders.
I have three of the top six Midfielders
I have one of the top five forwards.
I also have a player that has hardly played so bench boost will be fun.
Even if I sell Salah or Aguero I cant get in the players I need, oh well, I could sell Salah and B.Silva and re-invest in Sterling and Mane. Decisions, I think I will wait till after this week.
I am expecting big things from Salah this week, considering Fulham have conceded 16 goals and Liverpool have scored 12 and Liverpool will want to bounce back from their midweek defeat I want to see 5, a Salah hattrick would be nice. Should I do a free hit and include Firmino and Mane for this week, now that’s a thought.
More details on how I got to these figures will be explained in the coming weeks.
The joys of deciding on transfers each week takes some time. The decision this week is do I sell one of the big players to free up funds or stick with them. Not sure. Lets look at an option.
Sell Salah and Aguero and buy someone else, but whom. Both these players have home fixtures, Liverpool against Fulham and City against United. The stats are also showing both players in the upturn so it may be best to wait another week, especially as international week is coming up.
I need to look at the data in more depth, I will update the blog tonight with more info and also my real options on whom I’m going for.